Risk and Systems Analysis for Renewable Power Generation with Environmental and Other Stressors

Megan C. Marcellin, Gigi Pavur (University of Virginia)
John J. Cardenas (United States Agency for International Development)
Saddam Q. Waheed (Iraq Ministry of Water Resources)
Benjamin D. Trump, Igor Linkov (U.S. Army Corps of Engineers)
Venkataraman Lakshmi, James H. Lambert (University of Virginia)

Keywords

Risk management;Scenario identification;Infrastructure resilience;Climate change;Water scarcity;Sustainability

Abstract

This work evaluates and quantifies infrastructure system risk, defined as the influence of scenarios on system priorities. A scenario-based multi-criteria preferences model assesses system component priorities, and reevaluates those priorities for a set of climate and other related scenarios. The methods are demonstrated for the case of the nascent renewable energy sector of Iraq, identifying scenarios which most affect renewable power system priorities.